EUMETNET
C-SRNWP Programme
Annual Report
2003
Workshops
For the six Lead Centres of the Programme,
the rule is to organise a workshop every two years. This rule has experienced
two exceptions in 2003:
- It has not been possible due to
local difficulties for the LC (Lead Centre) on Mesoscale Verification (KNMI)
to organise its workshop. It will take place in June 2004.
- Due to its move from Bracknell to
Exeter, the Met Office has asked to postpone the organisation of the Workshop
on Variational Methods until they are definitely installed in their new premises.
It is now the case and its workshop will take place in November 2004.
Second Workshop on Statistical
and Dynamical Adaptation
Vienna, 5-7 May 2003.
At the difference of the First Workshop
(Vienna, 4-6 December 2000), the Second Workshop dealt also with the Dynamical
Adaptation. Thus presentations on Road Surface Temperature, Fog Forecasting
at Paris Airport and High-Resolution Trajectories have been announced. Although
these last presentations were of high quality, it remains a surprise and a
deception that this new topic Dynamical Adaptation attracted so few contributions.
14 European NWS (National Weather Services) were represented at the Workshop
which ended with a final discussion whose main point was to know whether the
Statistical Adaptation of model results is still necessary today, regarding
the very large increase in model resolution we have experienced these last
years. More information can be found in the workshop report http://srnwp.cscs.ch/Lead_Centres/Vienna_Report.html
Fifth Workshop on Nonhydrostatic
Modelling
Bad Orb (Germany), 27-29 October 2003.
The Fourth Workshop (24-26 September
2001) took place in the aftermath of the 11th September drama which made it
impossible for our US and Canadian colleagues to participate. But we had the
pleasure to see them again for the Fifth Workshop which once again had a
true worldwide character with the participation of scientists from the Far
East, too. As the models for the short-range become non-hydrostatic, the
success of this workshop was guaranteed (88 registered participants). Almost
all the presentations can be seen under http://srnwp.cscs.ch/Lead_Centres/BadOrb.htm.
Annual Meeting 2003
Lisbon, 6-9 October 2003.
The EWGLAM/SRNWP Annual Meeting has been organised by IM Portugal. It was the 25th EWGLAM (European Working Group on Limited Area Modelling) Meeting and the 10th SRNWP Meeting! This Jubilee meeting has also been attended by the EUMETNET Coordinating Officer, Claude Pastre. This meeting was a true integrated meteorological meeting, as it comprised
- A one-day joint session with the COST Action 716 "Use of Radar Observations in Hydrological and NWP Models"
- An exhaustive presentation of the EU Project CLOUDMAP2 "Subgrid-scale parameterisation through validation and data assimilation of cloud properties" followed by a general discussion on the requirements of the short-range NWP community (see report under http://srnwp.cscs.ch/Annual_Meetings/2003/tuesday/C2%20ROADSHOW_EWGLAM.htm) - a detailed presentation of the EUMETSAT SAF Land Analysis.
It was a very interesting experiment,
which could be repeated, but which also had its negative points. For example,
some presentations from the radar specialists were too specialised for the
know-how and the interest of the NWP scientists.
Many points have been dealt with in
the general EWGLAM and SRNWP discussions. All these points can be found under
http://srnwp.cscs.ch/Annual_Meetings/2003_EWGLAM_Final_Discussion.htm
http://srnwp.cscs.ch/Annual_Meetings/2003_SRNWP_Final_Discussion.htm
A-TOST Meetings
A-TOST: Atlantic - THORPEX Observing
Systems Test
Participation to the First (ECMWF,
16 May 2003) and to the Second Planning Meeting (Montreal, 8-9 September 2003).
"The EUMETNET Composite Observing
System (EUCOS) Programme and THORPEX share a common goal of testing the
hypothesis that the number and size of significant weather forecast errors
over Europe and Eastern seaboard of the USA can be reduced by targeting extra
observations over oceanic storm-tracks and other remote areas, determined
each day from the forecast flow patterns. The Atlantic-THORPEX Observing
System Test (Atlantic - TOST) is planned as a field campaign to make a significant
contribution towards this common goal. The primary aim of the Atlantic
TOST is to test the real-time quasi operational targeting of observations
using a number of platforms including AMDAR, ASAP ships, extra radiosonde
ascents, research aircraft and meteorological satellites" (From the WMO THORPEX
web site).
This field campaign took place from
the 13th of October till the 12th of December 2003.
The SRNWP Programme Manager is convinced
that targeted observations, mainly on the Atlantic, will become very important
in the future for the short-range NWP in Europe. It is therefore a necessity
for him to follow the developments in this new way of observing the atmosphere,
although the direct users will primarily be the NWS running a global model.
But all the LAM's will take profit from the targeted observations through
their boundary conditions.
Liaison with the COST Action 716
COST 716: Exploitation of ground based
GPS for numerical weather prediction.
Length of this Action: January 2000
- December 2003.
From the GPS information, it is possible
to deduce the amount of water vapour above a GPS antenna. The vertically
integrated quantities can be principally easily used with the variational
techniques employed today in data assimilation. In practice, the problem
is not so simple. One of the reasons is that the observation error statistics
is unknown. Another reason is the heterogeneity in the numerical treatment
of the raw data between the different European GPS centres.
GPS humidities have been assimilated
at the DWD, at the Met Office, at the SMHI and at MeteoSwiss. The general
judgement at the end of the Action is that the impact is neutral to slightly
positive. But a nice aspect is that we have experienced continuous improvement
during the four years of the Action: the number of very deteriorating impacts
has decreased and the number of spectacular positive impacts has increased.
The technical problems remaining in the assimilation of these data are small
when compared with the organisational and even political problems linked with
the dissemination of the GPS data. It is today not clear how to set up an
operational system allowing the NWS to receive the processed GPS data 60-90
minutes after observation time from a very heterogeneous network with data
policies greatly varying form one country to the next. The only sensible way
would be to ask EUMETNET to investigate this problem, for example in the
frame of EUCOS. A major difficulty will be that the geodesy community in
Europe is not as strongly organised as the meteorological community.
EUMETNET Programme WINPROF
Special workshop with invited NWP specialists: ECMWF, 9-10 December 2003.
The European C-WINDE network consists of about 17 profilers. But the data of only 5-6 profilers can be used operationally at the Met Office, Meteo-France and ECMWF (the data quality of the other sites is insufficient for NWP).
The EUMETNET WINPROF Programme
terminates on the 30th of June 2004. The Programme Manager should ask the
EUMETNET CO about a possible prolongation of this Programme for at least one
year. It would be appreciated if the Council could discuss this matter at
its next meeting (14 May 2004 in De Bilt).
The Workshop participants
also discussed issues related to the winds measured by the Doppler radars,
the VAD/VVP winds and the radial winds. VAD/VPP winds are average winds computed
in a large volume. For the future very high resolution models, radial winds
would be more appropriate. Radial winds are still in their infancy. It would
be nice if the EUMETNET Programme OPERA could promote the production of the
radial winds and propose to WMO through EUMETNET a BUFR code for these winds.
The report of the meeting
can be found under "Other Workshops or Conferences" in the SRNWP Programme
web site (http://srnwp.cscs.ch).
Project ALATNET
March 2000 - February 2004.
Final Seminar: Kiralyret (Hungary),
15-17 October 2003.
The Programme Manager had the pleasure
to accompany as expert advisor the Project ALATNET (ALAdin Training NETwork)
in the action "training and mobility of researchers", action implemented
through the Research training Networks of the 5th Framework Programme of
the EU.
This Project, coordinated by Meteo-France,
has allowed the training in a foreign national weather service of 12 students
who found, for most of them through this Project, an opportunity to prepare
their Ph.D.
The impression of the Programme Manager gained at the Mid-term Review Meeting (Brussels, 22-23 April 2002) has been confirmed and even reinforced at the Final Seminar by the remarkable quality of the works presented as well as by the dedication of these young people for the numerical simulation of the atmospheric processes.
The PEPS Project
Or the SRNWP-DWD Poor-man Ensemble Prediction System.
2003 has seen the start of the Project. For a justification and a description of this Project, we refer the interested reader to the article published in the EUMETNET News, Number 8, December 2003, pp 9-12.
Jean QUIBY
C-SRNWP Programme Manager