2 nd  SRNWP - WORKSHOP  ON  STATISTICAL
        AND  DYNAMICAL  ADAPTATION
5 -
6 May 2003, Vienna, Austria 

SWSA 2003 Participants

SWSA 2003 Programme

Monday, 5 May 2003

09:00 – 09:20  Opening, organizational matters
                                Steinhauser, P., T. Haiden

09:20 – 09:30  A few words from the SRNWP Coordinator
                                Quiby, J. C.

Session 1:    Statistical / probabilistic methods  

09:30 – 09:55  Probabilistic forecasts of precipitation in terms of quantiles
                                Bremnes, J. B.                                                                  Download PowerPoint

09:55 – 10:20  Better forecasts yield larger errors? Experiences of statistical adaptation of deterministic and ensemble forecasts of 2 m temperature
                                Persson, A.                                                                      Download PowerPoint

10:20 – 10:45  Statistical postprocessing of weather parameters for a high-resolution limited-area model
                               Theis, S., A. Hense, U. Damrath, and V. Renner              Download PowerPoint

10:45 – 11:10     Coffee Break

11:10 – 11:35  Windspeed prediction improvement by the MOS technique in windfarm case
                               Melonek, M.

11:35 – 12:00  MOS based on the ALADIN numerical model
                               Diaconu, O.

12:00 – 13:00     Lunch Break

13:00 – 13:10     Weather briefing

13:10 – 13:35  The development of statistical interpretation and adaption at Finnish Meteorological Institute
                                 Kilpinen, J.                                                                      Download PowerPoint

13:35 – 14:00  Statistical adaptation for the prediction of unfrequent meteorological events
                                 Farges, S., I. Souyri, M.-H. Théron, and F. Atger            Download PowerPoint
                            Fog Forecasting at Roissy Airport (Paris) with 1D model
                                 Bergot, Th. and J. Noilhan

14:00 – 14:25  Forecasting extreme meteorological events over complex topography I:
                     
Pattern recognition by Artificial Neural Networks (ANN)
                                  Eckert, P.                                                                       Download PowerPoint

14:25 – 14:50  Forecasting extreme meteorological events over complex topography II:
                     
Extreme Forecast Index (EFI) and Limited Area EPS (LEPS)
                                 Cattani, D.                                                                       Download PowerPoint

14:50 – 15:15     Coffee Break

15:15 – 15:40  Quantitative precipitation forecast mapping in Iceland using topographic information
                                Crochet, Ph.                                                                     Download PowerPoint

15:40 – 16:05  QPF probabilistic prediction by a limited area model ensemble prediction system
                                Paccagnella, T., C. Marsigli, A. Montani, F. Nerozzi, and S. Tibaldi

19:00                     Workshop Dinner

 

Tuesday, 6 May 2003

Session 2: Physical / dynamical & combined methods

 09:00 – 09:25  The Met Office Road Surface Temperature Model (MORST)
                               Jackson, S. D., T. J. Wheeler, and W. P. Hopwood

09:25 – 09:50  France fog forecasting at Paris airport with 1D-model
                               Bergot, Th., D. Carrer, and J. Noilhan                               Download PowerPoint

09:50 – 10:05  A deterministic post-processing program applied to the Local-Model output fields
                               Ciciulla, F.                                    
Part 1                                           Part 2
                                                                   Download PowerPoint Part 1        Download PowerPoint Part 2

10:05 – 10:30     Coffee Break

10:30 – 10:55  Computation and operational production of trajectories from a meso-scale NWP model
                               Quiby, J. C.                                                                       Download PowerPoint

10:55 – 11:20  Operational use of the dynamical adaptation for high-resolution ALADIN forecast in the Dinaric Alps
                               Ivatek-Sahdan, S.

11:20 – 11:45  Use of dynamical adaptation in research impact studies
                               Tudor, M                                                                          Download PowerPoint

11:45 – 12:10  A combined physical/statistical approach for the downscaling of wind speed from a NWP model
                               de Rooy, W., and K. Kok                                                 Download PowerPoint

12:10 – 13:10     Lunch Break

13:10 – 13:20     Weather briefing

13:20 – 13:45  Comparison of dynamical and stochastical downscaling in the framework of ALADIN
                               Ahrens, B., and A. Beck

13:45 – 14:10  T2m nowcasting: statistical vs. physical adaptation
                               Haiden, T., S. Greilberger, and A. Schmalwieser                Download PowerPoint

14:10 – 15:00     Final discussion